Despite all the uncertainty of COVID, there is still value to be had in Wednesdays college basketball program. Here’s a breakdown of my top college basketball bets for a Big Ten matchup between Michigan State No.10 and Nebraska.
Click on the odds below to place a bet now. You can continue the discussion in our betting community, as we dissect all the games throughout the week.
Nebraska Cornhuskers to Michigan State Spartans
Tom Izzo’s squad racked up seven straight wins while going 5-2 against spread during this time. The Spartans are now as low as +1500 to win the national title, and they sit 15th in my college basketball power rankings.
Although the Cornhuskers got off to a 6-8 start, including the loss of Trey McGowens (broken foot), Fred Hoiberg further shows the philosophy that made him successful at Iowa State – pressure defense. Nebraska has the 69th highest opponent turnover rate as Hoiberg finally has the athleticism to generate consistent havoc again.
The state of Michigan struggles to limit its mistakes despite exceeding expectations from Izzo’s movement offensive, racking up a turnover percentage of less than 120.
Both teams are working to pick up the pace, but Nebraska will rack up its fair share of transition opportunities if Michigan State’s blunders continue. The Spartans also rank 226th near proximity Testing allowed per 100 possessions over the average opponent (lay-ups, dunks, and tip-ins via Haslametrics) – a by-product of their turnover problems.
On the other hand, the Cornhuskers offense is in the top 100 of this department. As long as Alonzo Verge & Co. aren’t stuck in half-court sets, they are able to hang on to less than five possessions.
Let’s sell high on the Spartans for a potential prospect with their rivalry game in Michigan State on Bridge.
Eli’s bet: Nebraska +15.5 (placed Wednesday morning at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Best College Basketball Bets: Nebraska +15 or better
Best available line: Nebraska